Age, Intentions and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration

Reference : Age, Intentions and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration


	Document type :	E-prints/Working papers : Already available on another site
	Discipline(s) :	Business & economic sciences : International economics
	Focus Areas :	Migration and Inclusive Societies
	To cite this reference:	http://hdl.handle.net/10993/45432

Title :	Age, Intentions and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration
Language :	English
Author, co-author :	Beine, Michel [University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance (FDEF) > Department of Economics and Management (DEM) >]
Publication date :	Dec-2020
Peer reviewed :	No
Keywords :	[en] age ; logit ; international migration ; intended emigration ; large-scale survey
Abstract :	[en] In this paper, I propose to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. The role of age is estimated on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration, using individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence that age has a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect, suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is steady over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.
Permalink :	http://hdl.handle.net/10993/45432
source URL :	https://www.cesifo.org/en/publikationen/2020/working-paper/age-intentions-and-implicit-role-out-selection-factors

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