Pan-European pension schemes – a way to close the pension gap

Article for general public (2017)

The pan-European Personal Pension is the Commission led proposal to close the pension gap in a cost-effective manner. Its benefits spread across multiple fronts: improving pension system sustainability ... [more ▼]

The pan-European Personal Pension is the Commission led proposal to close the pension gap in a cost-effective manner. Its benefits spread across multiple fronts: improving pension system sustainability, strengthening current fiscal and macroeconomic coordination framework, unlock long-term investment, and contributing to deeper economic integration. [less ▲]

A Panacea for all Times: the Politics of the German Stability Culture

in West European Politics (2013), 36(4), 750-770

The German Stability Culture is frequently pointed to in the literature as the source of the country’s low inflationary policies and, at the European Union (EU) level, the design of Economic and Monetary ... [more ▼]

The German Stability Culture is frequently pointed to in the literature as the source of the country’s low inflationary policies and, at the European Union (EU) level, the design of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). In Germany, the term was regularly wielded by central bankers and Christian Democrat (CDU-CSU) politicians to legitimise the move to EMU in the face of a large majority of public opinion opposed, and subsequent EU-level policy developments, particularly in the context of the eurozone debt crisis that erupted in 2009. An ordered probit analysis is used to demonstrate the depth of the German Stability Culture, showing that support for low inflation cuts across all party and ideological lines. Despite this ubiquity, the term has been wielded with regularity only by the centre-right Christian Democrats and is strongly associated with this party. A strategic constructivist analysis is employed to explain this uneven but persistent usage in German domestic politics. [less ▲]

Pancreatic Fat Is Associated With Metabolic Syndrome and Visceral Fat but Not Beta-Cell Function or Body Mass Index in Pediatric Obesity

in Pancreas (2017)

Pandemic Impacts on Sustainability and Hartwick’s Rule

E-print/Working paper (2022)

In this study, we present a modified Hartwick rule encompassing the dynamics of pandemic, such as COVID-19. In our setting, the labor productivity gradually improves after the pandemic shock and may even ... [more ▼]

In this study, we present a modified Hartwick rule encompassing the dynamics of pandemic, such as COVID-19. In our setting, the labor productivity gradually improves after the pandemic shock and may even go beyond its pre-pandemic level due to the remote work and digitalization as also suggested by the empirical evidence. We demonstrate that a gradual labor productivity increase helps to conserve natural resources. We provide a theoretical foundation for a“sooner-the-better" strategy to control a pandemic, and we show that policy maker should implement a “whatever it costs” response to ensure that the transmission rate of the virus is below the recovery rate from the very beginning of the pandemic. Otherwise, the economy cannot have a sustained utility. We also analyze the implications of an “uncertain” pandemic on the intertemporal dynamics of natural resource and capital accumulation under the maximin criterion. Another important finding is that there exists a new economic and public health trade-off since a strong prevention policy is shown to decrease capital accumulation. [less ▲]

Pandemic Simulation and Forecasting of exit strategies:Convergence of Machine Learning and EpidemiologicalModels

Report (2020)

The COVID-19 pandemic has created a public health emergency unprecedented in this century. The lack ofaccurate knowledge regarding the outcomes of the virus has made it challenging for policymakers to ... [more ▼]

The COVID-19 pandemic has created a public health emergency unprecedented in this century. The lack ofaccurate knowledge regarding the outcomes of the virus has made it challenging for policymakers to decideon appropriate countermeasures to mitigate its impact on society, in particular the public health and the veryhealthcare system.While the mitigation strategies (including the lockdown) are getting lifted, understanding the current im-pacts of the outbreak remains challenging. This impedes any analysis and scheduling of measures requiredfor the different countries to recover from the pandemic without risking a new outbreak.Therefore, we propose a novel approach to build realistic data-driven pandemic simulation and forecastingmodels to support policymakers. Our models allow the investigation of mitigation/recovery measures andtheir impact. Thereby, they enable appropriate planning of those measures, with the aim to optimize theirsocietal benefits.Our approach relies on a combination of machine learning and classical epidemiological models, circum-venting the respective limitations of these techniques to allow a policy-making based on established knowl-edge, yet driven by factual data, and tailored to each country’s specific context. [less ▲]

Une pandémie, cent ans plus tard

Article for general public (2020)

Panel comment - The Construction and Circulation of Medical Knowledge in France and its Colonies, 1500-1900

Scientific Conference (2013, October 25)

A Panel Data Analysis of the Brain Gain

in World Development Forum (2011), 39(4)

In this paper, we revisit the impact of skilled emigration on human cap- ital accumulation using new panel data covering 147 countries on the period 1975-2000. We derive testable predictions from a ... [more ▼]

In this paper, we revisit the impact of skilled emigration on human cap- ital accumulation using new panel data covering 147 countries on the period 1975-2000. We derive testable predictions from a stylized theoretical model and test them in dynamic regression models. Our empirical analysis predicts con- ditional convergence of human capital indicators. Our ndings also reveal that skilled migration prospects foster human capital accumulation in low-income countries. In these countries, a net brain gain can be obtained if the skilled emigration rate is not too large (i.e. does not exceed 20 to 30 percent depend- ing on other country characteristics). On the contrary, we find no evidence of a signi ficant incentive mechanism in middle-income and, unsuprisingly, in high-income countries. [less ▲]

Panel Discussion (with Barro, Lars Hansen and Bob Litterman) on “Finance and Climate Risk” American Finance Association

Speeches/Talks (2015)

Panel Discussion on Sustainable Neighbourhoods: A view on cooperative housing models

Presentation (2014, December)