Pricing Dynamics and Herding Behavior of NFTsFridgen, Gilbert ; Kräussl, Roman ; Papageorgiou, Orestis et alE-print/Working paper (2023) Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) took the digital art space by storm in 2021, generating massive amounts of volume and attracting a large number of users to a previously obscure part of blockchain technology ... [more ▼] Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) took the digital art space by storm in 2021, generating massive amounts of volume and attracting a large number of users to a previously obscure part of blockchain technology. Still, very little is known about the determinants that contribute to NFT pricing and the market dynamics. This paper attempts to evaluate these factors analyzing 860,067 art NFTs that have been deployed on the Ethereum blockchain and have been involved in 317,950 sales. We introduce a first-of-its-kind ranking system for NFT artists, adding a novel dimension to our analysis. Our results suggest that market liquidity and intrinsic value strongly predict average price of NFTs. Contrarily, social media activity surprisingly shows a negative association with NFT prices. We also uncover the dominance of a small group of artists, demonstrating the pronounced 'superstar effect' and herding behavior within the NFT market. This market dynamic, however, shows signs of shifting towards independent decision-making during extreme market volatility. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 115 (12 UL) A Review on ESG Investing: Investors’ Expectations, Beliefs and PerceptionsKräussl, Roman ; Oladiran Tobi Ezekiel, Tobi ; Stefanova, Denitsa ![]() E-print/Working paper (2023) This study examines the recent literature on the expectations, beliefs and perceptions of investors who incorporate Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG) considerations in investment decisions with the ... [more ▼] This study examines the recent literature on the expectations, beliefs and perceptions of investors who incorporate Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG) considerations in investment decisions with the aim to generate superior performance and also make a societal impact. Through the lens of equilibrium models of agents with heterogeneous tastes for ESG investments, green assets are expected to generate lower returns in the long run than their non- ESG counterparts. However, at the short run, ESG investment can outperform non-ESG investment through various channels. Empirically, results of ESG outperformance are mixed. We find consensus in the literature that some investors have ESG preference and that their actions can generate positive social impact. The shift towards more sustainable policies in firms is motivated by the increased market values and the lower cost of capital of green firms driven by investors’ choices. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 134 (0 UL) ESG as Protection Against Downside RiskKräussl, Roman ; Oladiran Tobi Ezekiel, Tobi ; Stefanova, Denitsa ![]() E-print/Working paper (2023) We examine whether the uncertainty related to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulation developments is reflected in asset prices. We proxy the sensitivity of firms to ESG regulation ... [more ▼] We examine whether the uncertainty related to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulation developments is reflected in asset prices. We proxy the sensitivity of firms to ESG regulation uncertainty by the disparity across the components of their ESG ratings. Firms with high ESG disparity have a higher option-implied cost of protection against downside tail risk. The impact of the misalignment across the different dimensions of the ESG score is distinct from that of ESG score level itself. Aggregate downside risk bears a negative price for firms with low ESG disparity. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 125 (0 UL) Closed-End Funds and Discount Control MechanismsKräussl, Roman ; ; Stefanova, Denitsa ![]() E-print/Working paper (2023) The discount control mechanisms that closed-end funds often choose to adopt before IPO are supposedly implemented to narrow the difference between share price and net asset value. We find evidence that ... [more ▼] The discount control mechanisms that closed-end funds often choose to adopt before IPO are supposedly implemented to narrow the difference between share price and net asset value. We find evidence that non-discretionary discount control mechanisms such as mandatory continuation votes serve as costly signals of information to reveal higher fund quality to investors. Rents of the skill signaled through the announcement of such policies accrue to managers rather than investors as differences in skill are revealed through growing assets under management rather than risk- adjusted performance. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 69 (0 UL) Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): A Review of Pricing Determinants, Applications and OpportunitiesKräussl, Roman ; Tugnetti, Alessandro ![]() E-print/Working paper (2022) This paper provides a review of the development of the non-fungible tokens (NFTs) market, with a particular focus on its pricing determinants, its current applications, and its future opportunities. We ... [more ▼] This paper provides a review of the development of the non-fungible tokens (NFTs) market, with a particular focus on its pricing determinants, its current applications, and its future opportunities. We investigate the current state of the NFT markets and highlight the perception and expectations of investors towards these products. We summarize and compare the financial and econometric models that have been used in the literature for the pricing of non-fungible tokens with a special focus on their predictive performance. We design a framework that can help to understand the price formation of NFTs. We further aim to shed light on the value creating determinants of NFTs in order to better understand investors’ behavior on the blockchain. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 243 (33 UL) Institutional Investors and Infrastructure InvestingKräussl, Roman ; ; in Review of Financial Studies (2021), 34(8)(3880-3934), Detailed reference viewed: 114 (8 UL) Gendered PricesKräussl, Roman ; ; et alin Review of Financial Studies (2021), 34(8)(3789-3839), Detailed reference viewed: 108 (4 UL) Strategic bias and popularity effect in the prediction of economic surprises*Kräussl, Roman ; in Journal of Forecasting (2020) Detailed reference viewed: 150 (3 UL) Blockchain, Fractional Ownership, and the Future of Creative WorkKräussl, Roman ; in Management Science (2020) Detailed reference viewed: 98 (4 UL) Gendered pricesKräussl, Roman ; ; et alin Review of Financial Studies (2020) Detailed reference viewed: 88 (6 UL) Single Stock Call Options as Lottery Tickets: Overpricing and Investor SentimentKräussl, Roman ; ; in Journal of Behavioral Finance (2019), 20(4), 385-407 Detailed reference viewed: 185 (5 UL) Reliability and relevance of fair values: private equity investments and investee fundamentalsKräussl, Roman ; ; et alin Review of Accounting Studies (2019), 24(4), Detailed reference viewed: 100 (0 UL) Reliability and Relevance of Fair Values: Private Equity Investments and Investee Fundamentals; ; et al in SSRN (2019) Detailed reference viewed: 165 (7 UL)![]() Signaling or Marketing? The Role of Discount Control MechanismsKräussl, Roman ; Stefanova, Denitsa ; Scientific Conference (2019) Detailed reference viewed: 141 (1 UL) Implied Volatility Sentiment: A Tale of Two TailsKräussl, Roman ; ; in Quantitative Finance (2019) Detailed reference viewed: 129 (3 UL) The Subsidy to Infrastructure as an Asset Class*Kräussl, Roman ; ; E-print/Working paper (2018) Detailed reference viewed: 315 (3 UL) The Performance of Marketplace Lenders:Kräussl, Roman ; Kräussl, Zsofia ; et alE-print/Working paper (2018) Detailed reference viewed: 377 (34 UL) Signaling or Marketing? The Role of Discount Control MechanismsKräussl, Roman ; ; Stefanova, Denitsa ![]() E-print/Working paper (2018) Detailed reference viewed: 275 (2 UL) Reliability and Relevance of Fair Values: Private Equity Investments and Investee FundamentalsKräussl, Roman ; ; et alE-print/Working paper (2018) Detailed reference viewed: 345 (2 UL) Blockchain, Fractional Ownership, and the Future of Creative WorkKräussl, Roman ; E-print/Working paper (2018) While record-making prices at art auctions receive headline news coverage, artists typically do not receive any direct proceeds from those sales. Early-stage creative work in any field is perennially ... [more ▼] While record-making prices at art auctions receive headline news coverage, artists typically do not receive any direct proceeds from those sales. Early-stage creative work in any field is perennially difficult to value, but the valuation, reward, and incentivization for artistic labor are particularly fraught. A core challenge in studying the real return on artists’ work is the extreme difficulty accessing data from when an artwork was first sold. Galleries keep private records that are difficult to access and to match to public auction results. This paper, for the first time, uses archivally sourced primary market records, for the artists Jasper Johns and Robert Rauschenberg. Although this approach restricts the size of the data set, this innovative method shows much more accurate returns on art than typical regression and hedonic models. We find that if Johns and Rauschenberg had retained 10% equity in their work when it was first sold, the returns to them when the work was resold at auction would have outperformed the US S&P 500 by between 2 and 986 times. The implication of this work opens up vast policy recommendations with regard to secondary art market sales, entrepreneurial strategies using blockchain technology, and implications about how we compensate creative work. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 259 (4 UL) |
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